radshare technique - numbers comparison
{table from wiki
Quality Common Uncommon Rare
Intact (default) 76% (25.33%) 22% (11%) 2%
Exceptional 70% (23.33%) 26% (13%) 4%
Flawless 60% (20%) 34% (17%) 6%
Radiant 50% (16.67%) 40% (20%) 10%
}
(tangent) chance of 1 rare with 4 players
4 intact 7.76%
3 intact 1 rad 15.29%
2/2 22.21%
3/1 28.56%
4 rad 34.39%
chance of multiple targeted rares with 4 rad
0 0.9^4 = 65.61%
1 or more 1 - (0.9^4) = 34.39%
2 or more (1 - 0.9^4)(1 - 0.9^3) = 9.31969%
3 or more (1 - 0.9^4)(1 - 0.9^3)(1-0.9^2) = 1.7707411%
4 (1 - 0.9^4)(1 - 0.9^3)(1-0.9^2)(1 - 0.9^1) = 0.17707411%
chance of finding exact quantity of targeted rares with 4 rad
0 65.61%
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