Talk:Spy/Rewards/@comment-91.155.165.221-20180523101701/@comment-14475-20180527201240

Runs are independent of each other. If you don't receive the reward one run, your chances don't increase for the next run.

Sure, if we just plug in the number of runs and original percentage using the Bernoulli Process, then after 70 runs there is a 99.613% chance to receive a Neuroptics bp. However, there's still the 0.387% of failure.

BlessRNG.

I call BS on the "close to 200 runs". 200 runs would require 16 hours, which is almost half of your time over those 3 days. 3 (24h - 8h Sleep - 2h FoodBathroomHygiene) That much repetition over the course of 3 days is enough to make a person burnout and quit playing the game for a while – first-hand experience.