Talk:Thunderbolt/@comment-61.86.191.106-20130509043347/@comment-67.171.129.238-20130509060039

With multishot the chance is still about 1 out of every three arrows, you are just shooting two arrows at once. They are independent events, one arrow does not know what the other arrow is doing.

We could make a probability math question outta this I suppose. The chance of there being two non-explosive arrows in a row (ie fired at the same time) is 0.7 * 0.7 = 0.49. So 51% of the time there is one or two explosions. I think?