Talk:Entropy Spike/@comment-109.230.28.137-20141027165851/@comment-24.23.135.165-20141030231434

I'm not sure how you came up with these numbers but they aren't right.

Assuming 100% chance of 1 additional shot:

Chance of at least 1 explotion=.488

Chance of 3 explotions=.008

Assuming 100% chance of 2 additional shots:

Chance of at least 1 explotion=.5904

Chance of 4 explotions=.0016

Basic binomial probability...