Talk:Stalker/@comment-96.28.52.231-20140217200558

If the Stalker has a chance of spawning for each player at a 1.5% + (.5% per player) [<-Stalker likes an audience] = 3.5% chance to spawn for each player (unless the "per player" doesn't include the said player then my math needs adjustment to 3%), then wouldn't the chance of him spawning in a game of 4 players with death marks be P(exactly spawn for 1st player) + P(exatly spawn for 2nd Player ) +P(3rd) + P(4th)? Note this is not a simple addition problem.

P(exactly on 1st) = P(1st player chance of spawn) = 0.035

P(exactly on 2nd) = P(first player doesnt spawn)*P(chance for second) = (1 - P(1st player's chance) )*.P(2nd player's chance) = (1-0.035)*0.035

P(exaclty on 3rd) = P(first player doesnt spawn)*P(second player doesnt spawn)*P(chance for 3rd) = (1 - P(1st Player's chance) )*(1 - P(2nd player's chance))*.035

P(exactly on 4th) =  P(first player doesnt spawn)*P(second player doesnt spawn)*P(third player doesnt spawn)*P(chance for 4th) = etc.

P(of him spawning) = Sum of all = P(exactly on 1st) + P(exactly on 2nd) + P(exactly on 3rd) + P(exactly on 4th)

=.035 + (1-.035)*.035 + (1-.035)*(1-.035)*.035 + (1-.035)*(1-.035)*(1-.035)*.035

=.13281999 or 13.28%

Notice it is NOT 3.5%*4 = 14% even though they are very close.

TLDR: Chance of Stalker spawing in a game with 4 People that all have Death Marks is ~13.28%