Talk:Daily Tribute/@comment-76.104.11.173-20170523023225/@comment-4448946-20170719230213

"Also, getting coupons multiple times in a row is even more anecdotal - the frequency of reports describing said behaviour after a pause gives at least some statistical indication"

First off, when it comes to evidence 'anecdotal' is bad, end of story. Anything described as "more anecdotal' would be even worse. Also, here's a definition for you...

anecdotal: not necessarily true or reliable, because based on personal accounts rather than facts or research

Second, you are falling prey to god knows how many cognitive biases; Clustering Illusion, Availibility Heuristic, Bandwagon Effect, Confirmation Bias, Selective Perception and probably some form of survivorship bias.

What is more likely going on is that people are far more likely to report an unusual occurence so there are more reports indicating coming back to recieve a coupon or get a cluster of coupons than coming back to get something boring, despite the fact that coming back to something boring could be the more common occurence. As well, once people hear that it might be a thing, then they are EVEN MORE LIKELY to report it when it happens to them.

Unless you have some statistical analysis of rewards recieved by, say, 500 people in the week following them having not logged in at all, or you have access to a section of game code that would cause the increased coupons; then please stop saying it happens.

Oh yeah...

"It should still be like the old system, so yes, not logging in for a bit, increases your chance to get a discount (viewable here as a 'common' Tier 1 reward). I never heard of how often purchases are made affecting any odds"

What reason do you have to believe the rewards from the new system behave like those in the old system, particularly with how different the two systems are and the fact that there are NO MORE REWARD TIERS.