Talk:Thunderbolt/@comment-61.86.191.106-20130509043347/@comment-3061195-20130510030134

That would be true if the multishot mod went to 100%. Unfortunately, it only goes up to 90%. Now, working out statistics makes my brain hurt, but I'm pretty sure it breaks down like this:

48.9% chance of at least one explosive arrow, of which 8.1% is two explosive arrows and 40.8% is only one. That leaves 51.1% of the time where there are no explosive arrows at all. In that situation, 7% of that is one arrow firing and being a dud, with the remaining 44.1% being both arrows firing but neither being explosive.