Talk:Orokin Derelict/@comment-81.105.84.81-20180301085329/@comment-79.68.101.170-20180406053903

A 1 in 4 chance of being right. Ergo 75% chance of being wrong. Of course the maths are against you. Simple probability says you're screwed on solo run. The 1 in 4 isn't extrapolated over 28 runs (easier than explaining why .5 of a run doesn't work). It's a 1 in 4 chance of being right per single run. So a flat out 28 runs should equal 4 mods, or 100 runs equals 25 mods simply doesn't work. If somebody can bothered to do the math properly (and that isn't me right now) then you have 2 runs with a single key becoming a 12.5% chance of being right, that's how extrapolation works. So over 28 runs the chances of being right 25% of the time would be around 0.005% or something that stupidly low. In others words, get a damn squad together because RNGesus hates us all equally and the maths is never in your favour.