Talk:Argon Scope/@comment-73.234.131.123-20160129213037/@comment-91.65.225.142-20160130205108

Judging by the maths, Zxorn is actually right; the chance is incredibly low for him to not get one in 200 runs.

The chance per run doesn't increase of course, but on the other hand, you do have to consider that it is very much below the expected value (0 compared to 8).

I have not calculated it through in detail, but I think we can trust Zxorn on this one here; it's very, very unlikely that you get none in 200 runs.